RISK SCREENING FOR ADVERSE OUTCOMES IN SUBACUTE CARE

Purpose of this study was to identify variables near hospital admissio n that could identify patients at risk for placement, death, or readmi ssion. The goals were to assess sensitivity and specificity of screeni ng strategies in predicting adverse outcomes that deter or affect home health care. We evaluated whether generic screens might efficiently i dentify type of outcome. Criteria reported in the literature were used to predict outcomes for 1,332 admissions. Factors that discriminated type of outcome included comorbidity, mental status, living arrangemen t, transfer to special care, prior admission, iatrogenic trauma, and p ending litigation. We conclude risk scores can accurately predict outc ome of hospital treatment, which may be useful in targeting patients f or intervention. Using billing data, although rather insensitive, was the most cost-effective strategy.