Most patients infected with hepatitis C virus (HCV) develop chronic he
patitis. Unfortunately, the pathological evolution of this disease ove
r time is not completely understood. We studied 70 HCV-positive patien
ts, from whom 2 to 10 liver biopsy specimens (mean, 3.9) had been obta
ined during an interval of 1 to 26 years (mean, 8.8 years). Each biops
y specimen was evaluated-independently by four pathologists who each p
rovided a numerical score for the grade of portal/periportal necroinfl
ammation (0-4), grade of lobular necroinflammation (0-4), their sum (f
inal grade), and the stage of fibrosis (1-4), The scores were correlat
ed with progression of disease, if any, and transition to cirrhosis. D
uring follow-up, 35 patients (50%) developed cirrhosis. Cirrhosis deve
loped in all patients with a high final grade (greater than or equal t
o 5) of necroinflammation on initial biopsy who were followed for 10 y
ears and in 96% of patients with an intermediate final grade (3.5-4.9)
who were followed for 17 years. Only 30.4% of patients with low final
grade (less than or equal to 3.4) on initial biopsy developed cirrhos
is after 13 years. All patients with evidence of septal fibrosis with
incomplete nodularity (stage 3.0-3.4) in the initial biopsy progressed
to unequivocal cirrhosis by 10 years. The rate of progression to cirr
hosis was accelerated in patients whose initial biopsies showed high-g
rade and -stage lesions, This study demonstrates the importance of gra
ding and staging liver biopsy lesions in chronic hepatitis C, particul
arly for patients with high-grade necroinflammation, septal fibrosis,
and regions of nodularity on initial biopsy who are at high risk of de
veloping advanced cirrhosis in the ensuing decade.