HOME ECONOMUS - ECONOMIC INFORMATION AND ECONOMIC VOTING

Citation
T. Holbrook et Jc. Garand, HOME ECONOMUS - ECONOMIC INFORMATION AND ECONOMIC VOTING, Political research quarterly, 49(2), 1996, pp. 351-375
Citations number
25
Categorie Soggetti
Political Science
ISSN journal
10659129
Volume
49
Issue
2
Year of publication
1996
Pages
351 - 375
Database
ISI
SICI code
1065-9129(1996)49:2<351:HE-EIA>2.0.ZU;2-E
Abstract
Although retrospective economic voting does not require voters to have precise information about recent economic conditions, it is arguably the case that the quality of retrospective voting as a democratic acco untability mechanism hinges on the degree to which citizens have reaso nably accurate perceptions of the state of the economy In this paper w e test a model of the accuracy of individuals' perceptions of national economic conditions. Utilizing data collected in a survey of resident s of Milwaukee County, Wisconsin, during the 1992 presidential campaig n, we depict perceptual accuracy as a function of four sets of indepen dent variables: (1) personal characteristics likely to enhance citizen s' political and economic cognition; (2) perceptions of economic threa t, (3) interest in politics and/or economics; and (4) exposure to medi a sources. Our findings point to the importance of personal characteri stics, such as socioeconomic status, gender, race, and age, as well as retrospective personal evaluations, political interest, and media exp osure in determining the accuracy of citizens' economic perceptions. M oreover, we provide preliminary evidence that perceptual inaccuracy ha s an indirect effect on vote choice in 1992 through its effect on retr ospective sociotropic economic evaluations.