BACKGROUND. Tumor markers are putative prognostic indicators for patie
nts with carcinoma, but have not heretofore been evaluated in patients
with Stage II and III pancreatic carcinoma. METHODS. Patients with St
age II (n = 9) and Stage III (n = 25) unresectable regional adenocarci
noma of the pancreas were treated with combined modality therapy. Trea
tment consisted of split course radiotherapy and simultaneous combinat
ion chemotherapy with fluorouracil infusion, streptozotocin, and cispl
atin. Prior to treatment, patients free of both infection and jaundice
provided blood for CA 19-9, carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and CA 125
assays. RESULTS. The overall median survival of Stage II patients was
21.1 months. Due to the small number of Stage II patients with marked
ly abnormal assays, it was not possible to test for a statistically si
gnificant association between pretreatment tumor assays and survival.
Among patients with Stage III pancreatic carcinoma, a CA 19-9 assay of
2000 u/mL or less identified a group of 16 patients with a median sur
vival of 12.8 months. In contrast, 8 Stage III patients with a CA 19-9
assay of greater than 2000 u/mL had a median survival of 8 months and
only 1 patient survived for 1 year (P = 0.020, log rank test; P = 0.0
10, Wilcoxon test). Among Stage III patients, a comparison of those wi
th a normal assay versus any degree of abnormal assay failed to provid
e prognostic information. Analyses based on a combination of CA 19-9 a
nd CA 125 assays provided additional powerful prognostic information:
(P = 0.002, log rank test; P = 0.005, Wilcoxon test). CEA assays faile
d to provide information alone or in combination with the CA 19-9 assa
y. After adjusting for the CA 19-9 assay in multivariate analyses, nei
ther performance status nor tumor size were significant prognostic var
iables for patients with Stage III cancers. CONCLUSIONS. Pretreatment
CA 19-9 assays provide powerful independent and objective prognostic i
nformation. (C) 1996 American Cancer Society.