Vi. Dalyuk et Om. Pokrovskii, INTRA-MONTHLY FORECAST OF TOTAL OZONE DISTRIBUTION ON THE BASIS OF SATELLITE MEASUREMENTS, Earth observation and remote sensing, 13(3), 1995, pp. 365-380
Two statistical methods of forecasting the total ozone (TO) behaviour
for a month ahead are suggested on the basis of the Karhunen-Loeve (K-
L) approximation. A determining role of an appropriate selection of th
e basic K-L functions is demonstrated. The efficiency of the predictor
approximation is shown to be indicative of the successfulness of a TO
forecast. Average skill-score of an intra-monthly TO forecast counts
about 80%.