A unique data set from Keszthely Bay, Lake Balaton has been applied to
develop a dynamic structural model able to describe the observed chan
ges in phytoplankton biomass and diversity. We tested whether the mode
l reacts according to the Intermediate Disturbance Hypothesis and acco
rding to the hypothesis that ecosystem reactions attempt to maximize t
he thermodynamic function exergy under prevailing conditions. If the a
nswer to these tests are confirmatory, it can be considered a support
for IDH and for the use of the exergy maximization principle as a gene
ral principle to explain ecosystem reactions.