The dispersal and introduction of nonindigenous aquatic species have o
ften been attributed to the release or escape of baitfish and other bi
ota from anglers' bait buckets. Using data obtained through two mail s
urveys of bait vendors, bait samples from retail locations, vendor int
erviews, a creel survey, and a literature review, we estimate the pote
ntial for anglers in North Dakota and Minnesota to contribute to the d
ispersal of nonindigenous fish from the Mississippi River basin into t
he Hudson Bay basin. Specifically, we estimate the probability of a si
ngle angler on a single angling day in the Hudson Bay basin releasing
live bait from the Mississippi River basin to be 1.2/100. But when the
cumulative number of trials-19 million angler days per year-was consi
dered, the estimated probability of bait bucket transfer occurring onc
e, 100, or even 10,000 times in 1 year approaches 1.0. In light of the
se findings, we conclude that drastic policy measures would have to be
undertaken to reduce anglers' potential for contributing to the dispe
rsal of aquatic species.