This report describes the prognostic value of computerized nuclear tex
ture analysis in metastatic prostate cancer, Seventy-seven patients wi
th histologically verified prostate carcinomas and skeletal metastases
were selected from a Scandinavian multicenter study (SPCG-2), Thirty-
six therapy-resistant patients experienced objective progression and c
ancer-related death within 2 years after orchiectomy, Thirty patients
responded well to orchiectomy, i.e., showed objective disease remissio
n and no signs of progression during 3 years of follow-up, From this d
ata set, 10 randomly chosen therapy-resistant and 10 randomly chosen t
herapy-sensitive carcinomas were used in our previous study to find th
e optimal combination of features that can discriminate between the tw
o groups (Yogesan et al.: Cytometry 24:268-276, 1996), In addition to
these two groups, 11 patients experienced stable disease or disease re
mission during the first year and a secondary progression during the s
econd or third year of follow-up, with subsequent cancer-related death
, Traditional clinical prognostic factors such as histopathological gr
ading and serum markers could not discriminate between these groups of
patients, Therefore, image analysis techniques based on texture analy
sis have been utilized in this study of prognosis of prostate cancer,
Feulgen-stained monolayers of nuclei were prepared from paraffin-embed
ded material taken from the primary tumor before endocrine ablation, F
our different textural features were selected from the training data s
et to calculate the discriminating function, This function separated t
he therapy-sensitive and the therapy-resistant patients with 87% accur
acy in the independent data set, This study demonstrates that it is po
ssible to predict tumor progression and survival for endocrine-ablated
metastatic prostate carcinomas using computerized nuclear texture ana
lysis on light microscopy images from prostate biopsies taken at the t
ime of diagnosis. (C) 1996 Wiley-Liss, Inc.