THE PROGNOSTIC VALUE OF ALBUMINURIA FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF CARDIOVASCULAR-DISEASE AND RETINOPATHY - A 5-YEAR FOLLOW-UP OF 451 PATIENTS WITHTYPE-2 DIABETES-MELLITUS

The aim of the present study was to evaluate the risk for vascular mor bidity or death and retinopathy in relation to urinary albumin concent ration. To that end, we performed a 5-year follow-up study of all type 2 diabetic patients attending the outpatient-clinic. A total of 444 ( 98.4%) out of 451 adult patients initially studied were evaluated for the degree of retinopathy' and levels of HbA(1c), blood pressure, seru m creatinine and urinary albumin. Vascular morbidity and causes of dea th were registered by one and the most severe event only. Forty-seven patients developed atherosclerotic vascular disease, i.e. myocardial i nfarction (ii = 19), cerebrovascular disease (It = 20), or amputation (n = 8), and 42 died. The observed annual mortality rate was 22.1/1000 compared to an expected rate of 13.6/1000 for the general population with corresponding age and sex. Urinary albumin concentration was foun d to be a prognostic marker for the development of vascular disease an d death in patients treated with insulin at baseline (P < 0.01), where as this was not the case in patients treated with diet and/or oral age nts at baseline. However, insulin treatment per se was not associated with an increased mortality or morbidity. Urinary albumin concentratio n was not correlated with incidence or progression of retinopathy rega rdless of type of diabetes treatment. In conclusion, this study showed that albuminuria was a prognostic factor for vascular morbidity and d eath in type 2 diabetic patients treated with insulin but not in patie nts treated with diet or oral agents. Furthermore, albuminuria was not a predictor for incidence or progression of retinopathy.