THE USE OF RAS IN MANPOWER FORECASTING - A MICROECONOMIC APPROACH

This paper deals with the use of RAS in manpower forecasting. The star ting point is a microeconomic allocation model of the firm in which th e optimal employment by education is determined. Two restricting hypot heses, dealing with the uniformity of wage changes and technologies ov er industries, are formulated. Several variants of the allocation mode l, differing with regard to accepting these hypotheses, are investigat ed. It is shown that these variants can all be rearranged to obtain th e RAS structure. The performances of the RAS variants indicate the val idity of the hypotheses. It is concluded that neither hypothesis can b e rejected.