Ao. Oncel et al., TEMPORAL VARIATIONS IN THE FRACTAL PROPERTIES OF SEISMICITY IN THE NORTH ANATOLIAN FAULT ZONE BETWEEN 31-DEGREES-E AND 41-DEGREES-E, Pure and Applied Geophysics, 147(1), 1996, pp. 147-159
We investigate the nature of temporal variations in the statistical pr
operties of seismicity associated with the North Anatolian Fault Zone
between longitudes 31 degrees-41 degrees E during the instrumental per
iod 1900-1992. Temporal variations in the seismic b value and the frac
tal (correlation) dimension D-c of earthquake epicenters are examined
for earthquakes of magnitude M(S) greater than or equal to 4.5, using
sliding windows of 100 consecutive events. b varies temporally between
0.6 and 1.0, and D-c between 0.6 and 1.4, both representing significa
nt fluctuations above the errors in measurement technique. A strong ne
gative correlation (r = -0.85) is observed between b and D-c, consiste
nt with previous observation of seismicity in Japan and southern Calif
ornia. Major events early in this century (M(S) greater than or equal
to 7) are associated with low b and high D-c, respectively consistent
with greater stress intensity and greater spatial clustering of epicen
ters-both implying a greater degree of stress concentration at this ti
me.