2 STYLES OF FORESIGHT - ARE WE PREDICTING THE FUTURE OR INVENTING IT

Authors
RAIMOND P
Citation
P. Raimond, 2 STYLES OF FORESIGHT - ARE WE PREDICTING THE FUTURE OR INVENTING IT, Long range planning, 29(2), 1996, pp. 208-214
Citations number
13
Categorie Soggetti
Management,"Planning & Development",Business
Journal title
Long range planning → ACNP
ISSN journal
00246301
Volume
29
Issue
2
Year of publication
1996
Pages
208 - 214
Database
ISI
SICI code
0024-6301(1996)29:2<208:2SOF-A>2.0.ZU;2-M
Abstract
Given that we do not know the future, how do we plan? How do we acquir e the wisdom and foresight to see some way ahead and not stumble forwa rd blindly? Two powerful approaches to foresight are explored in this article. The first, predictive foresight, aims to identify the key for ces which will shape the future and predict their outcomes. The second , creative foresight, involves key people in creating an imagined visi on of the future they would ideally have and then planning effective m eans to make it happen.