MULTIPLE SOLUTIONS, ILLEGAL PARAMETER VALUES, LOCAL MINIMA OF THE SUMOF SQUARES, AND ANOMALOUS PARAMETER ESTIMATES IN LEAST-SQUARES FITTING OF THE 2-COMPARTMENT PHARMACOKINETIC MODEL WITH ABSORPTION
Rd. Purves, MULTIPLE SOLUTIONS, ILLEGAL PARAMETER VALUES, LOCAL MINIMA OF THE SUMOF SQUARES, AND ANOMALOUS PARAMETER ESTIMATES IN LEAST-SQUARES FITTING OF THE 2-COMPARTMENT PHARMACOKINETIC MODEL WITH ABSORPTION, Journal of pharmacokinetics and biopharmaceutics, 24(1), 1996, pp. 79-101
When the two-compartment model with absorption is fitted to data by no
nlinear least squares, in general six different outcomes can be obtain
ed, arising from permutation of the three exponential rate constants.
The existence of multiple solutions in this sense is analogous to the
flip-flop phenomenon in the one-compartment model. It is possible for
parameter estimates to be inconsistent with the underlying physical mo
del. Methods for recognizing such illegal estimates are described. Oth
er common difficulties are that estimated values for two of the rate c
onstants are almost identical with very large standard deviations, or
that the parameter estimation algorithm converges poorly. Such unwante
d outcomes usually signal a local (false) minimum of the sum of square
s. They can be recognized from the ratio of largest to smallest singul
ar value of the Jacobian matrix, and are, in principle, avoidable by s
tarting the estimation algorithm with different initial values. There
also exists a class of data sets for which all outcomes of fitting the
usual equations are anomalous. A better fit fit to these data sets (s
maller sum of squares) is obtained if two of the relevant rate constan
ts are allowed to take complex conjugate values. Such data sets have u
sually been described as having ''equal rate constants.'' A special fo
rm of the model equation is available for parameter estimation in this
case. Precautions relating to its use are discussed.