S-coda waves of 10 local events that occurred in the eastern Pyrenees
and were recorded at La Cerdanya seismic station have been analysed to
determine whether the complexity they present is chaotic deterministi
c or random. The data were first subjected to a qualitative analysis,
the construction of a phase portrait by the delay method. This clearly
displays the possibility of deterministic chaos. Under the assumption
that part of the coda can be considered stationary, in the sense that
transients are no longer present, we performed a non-linear analysis
of coda waves. The geometry of the attractor of the motion of the syst
em (i.e. the recorded ground velocity of the medium) was characterized
by means of the correlation dimension. In all cases we obtained a fra
ctal dimension that ranges between 3.43 and 3.94. The Kolmogorov entro
py was estimated from the correlation function; in all cases it was po
sitive and finite, and the computation of the divergence of nearby orb
its revealed positive, finite maximum Lyapunov exponents for all event
s. Thus, all evidence is in favour of the hypothesis that the attracto
r is a strange attractor, and that the propagation is chaotic determin
istic. Errors in the measurements are estimated at 8 per cent for the
correlation dimension and 12 per cent for the Lyapunov exponent. Becau
se of natural noise in the seismic records, the above determinations s
hould be considered as lower bounds. The above results constitute stro
ng evidence in favour of chaotic coda-wave propagation in the zone und
er study, and suggest that the chaotic behaviour is generated by multi
ple scattering. To account for characteristics such as those found, ma
thematical models should be formulated in terms of non-linear equation
s with a minimum of four degrees of freedom.