Rd. Gorsky et al., PREVENTING PERINATAL TRANSMISSION OF HIV - COSTS AND EFFECTIVENESS OFA RECOMMENDED INTERVENTION, Public health reports, 111(4), 1996, pp. 335-341
Objective. To calculate the national costs of reducing perinatal trans
mission of human immunodeficiency virus through counseling and volunta
ry testing of pregnant women and zidovudine treatment of infected wome
n and their infants, as recommended by the Public Health Service, and
to compare these costs with the savings from reducing the number of pe
diatric infections. Method. The authors analyzed the estimated costs o
f the intervention and the estimated cost savings from reducing the nu
mber of pediatric infections. The outcome measures are the number of i
nfections prevented by the intervention and the net cost (cost of inte
rvention minus the savings from a reduced number of pediatric HIV infe
ctions). The base model assumed that intervention participation and ou
tcomes would resemble those found in the AIDS Clinical Trials Group Pr
otocol 076. Assumptions were varied regarding maternal seroprevalence,
participation by HIV-infected women, the proportion of infected women
who accepted and completed the treatment, and the efficacy of zidovud
ine to illustrate the effect of these assumptions on infections preven
ted and net cost. Results. Without the intervention, a perinatal HIV t
ransmission rate of 25% would result in 1750 HIV-infected infants born
annually in the United States, with lifetime medical-care costs estim
ated at $282 million. The cost of the intervention (counseling, testin
g, and zidovudine treatment) was estimated to be $67.6 million. In the
base model, the intervention would prevent 656 pediatric HIV infectio
ns with a medical care cost saving of $105.6 million. The net cost sav
ing of the intervention was $38.1 million. Conclusion. Voluntary HIV s
creening of pregnant women and ziovudine treatment for infected women
and their infants resulted in cost savings under most of the assumptio
ns used in this analysis. These results strongly support implementatio
n of the Public Health Service recommendations for this intervention.