To evaluate familial factors in the development of diabetic nephropath
y in insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus (IDDM) we examined concordanc
e for diabetic nephropathy in families with multiple IDDM siblings. Fa
milies (n = 110) were identified through Joslin Clinic patients (proba
nds) with a sibling having IDDM. To be eligible, the probands' and sib
lings' ages at IDDM diagnosis were less than 21 years, and IDDM durati
on was more than 15 years for probands and more than 10 years for sibl
ings. Mean post-pubertal diabetes duration was 23 years for probands (
n = 110) and 21 years for siblings (n = 125). Nephropathy history was
determined by medical record review for deceased patients and those wi
th persistent proteinuria or end-stage renal disease to ascertain the
date of onset of persistent proteinuria. For patients without document
ed nephropathy, the albumin/creatinine ratio was measured in multiple
urine samples. The cumulative incidence of persistent proteinuria acco
rding to post-pubertal duration of IDDM was determined by life-table a
nalysis. For probands and siblings combined, the cumulative incidence
of advanced diabetic nephropathy after 30 years of IDDM was 35%, but t
he risk in siblings varied according to the proband's renal status. Th
e cumulative risk in siblings after 25 years of IDDM (post-puberty) wa
s 71.5% if the proband had persistent proteinuria but only 25.4% if th
e proband did not (p < 0.001). A difference of nearly 50% in the risk
to IDDM siblings, depending upon the IDDM proband's renal status, is c
onsistent with a major gene effect that predisposes an individual with
IDDM to develop advanced diabetic nephropathy.