OBJECTIVE: To test the hypothesis that there is an inverse relationshi
p between smoking and cognitive impairment by examining the prevalence
and incidence of such impairment in a representative cohort of older
urban residents. DESIGN: Survey follow-up with three interviews over a
4-year period. SETTING: City of Cleveland, Ohio. PARTICIPANTS: Six hu
ndred forty-seven survivors of a population-based, multi-stage probabi
lity sample of urban residents, aged 74 years and older in 1984. MEASU
REMENTS: Past and present cigarette smoking was measured in 1984 by di
rect questioning. Cognitive impairment was measured in 1984, 1987, and
1988 by the 10-item Short Portable Mental Status Questionnaire. Morta
lity was determined at each interview date, and death certificates wer
e obtained. Data were analyzed by univariate analysis, stratified anal
ysis, and multivariate logistic regression. RESULTS: There were 99 cas
es of cognitive impairment at baseline among 628 individuals for whom
complete data were available. Crude data suggest that the prevalence o
f cognitive impairment was lower among smokers than among non-smokers,
but logistic regression, adjusted for age, income, and gender, showed
this difference to be non-significant, OR 0.73; 95% CI (0.42, 1.29).
Fifty-one new cases of cognitive impairment occurred during the 4-year
observation period. Neither the crude data nor logistic regression sh
owed any significant relationship between smoking and the incidence of
cognitive impairment, OR 1.03; 95% CI (0.54, 1.99). Four-year mortali
ty did not differ significantly between these older smokers and non-sm
okers, but smokers died at a relatively younger age and were more like
ly to die of diseases associated with smoking. CONCLUSION: This study
does not confirm the hypothesis that there is a negative relationship
between smoking and cognitive impairment. The mortality data suggest t
hat case-control prevalence studies of the hypothesized relationship m
ay be distorted by complex life-long trends in behavior, morbidity, an
d mortality which could result in a misleading appearance of low preva
lence of cognitive impairment among smokers. Additional large, prospec
tive, population-based studies of the incidence of cognitive impairmen
t and related disorders and possible protective or risk factors other
than smoking are needed.