A. Porporato et L. Ridolfi, CLUES TO THE EXISTENCE OF DETERMINISTIC CHAOS IN RIVER FLOW, International journal of modern physics b, 10(15), 1996, pp. 1821-1862
The present work investigates the existence of a component of determin
istic chaos in the discharge time series of a river. The first part of
the work is concerned with the reconstruction of the attractor and th
e calculation of the correlation integral; in the second part the anal
ysis is conducted with the aid of nonlinear prediction. Some clues eme
rge as to the possible presence of chaos, probably immersed in a pheno
menon altogether more extensive and manifold. If confirmed, this prese
nce could provide interesting openings for a better comprehension of t
he formation mechanism of river flow, and a more precise forecasting o
f floods.