CLUES TO THE EXISTENCE OF DETERMINISTIC CHAOS IN RIVER FLOW

Citation
A. Porporato et L. Ridolfi, CLUES TO THE EXISTENCE OF DETERMINISTIC CHAOS IN RIVER FLOW, International journal of modern physics b, 10(15), 1996, pp. 1821-1862
Citations number
99
Categorie Soggetti
Physics, Condensed Matter","Physycs, Mathematical","Physics, Applied
ISSN journal
02179792
Volume
10
Issue
15
Year of publication
1996
Pages
1821 - 1862
Database
ISI
SICI code
0217-9792(1996)10:15<1821:CTTEOD>2.0.ZU;2-H
Abstract
The present work investigates the existence of a component of determin istic chaos in the discharge time series of a river. The first part of the work is concerned with the reconstruction of the attractor and th e calculation of the correlation integral; in the second part the anal ysis is conducted with the aid of nonlinear prediction. Some clues eme rge as to the possible presence of chaos, probably immersed in a pheno menon altogether more extensive and manifold. If confirmed, this prese nce could provide interesting openings for a better comprehension of t he formation mechanism of river flow, and a more precise forecasting o f floods.