PREDICTIVE METHODS FOR REAL-TIME CONTROL OF FLOOD OPERATION OF A MULTIRESERVOIR SYSTEM - METHODOLOGY AND COMPARATIVE-STUDY

Predictive methods for real-time flood operation of water systems cons isting of reservoirs located in parallel on tributaries to the main ri ver are presented and discussed. The aspect of conflicting individual goals of the local decision units and other objectives important from an overall point of view is taken into account. The particular attenti on is focused on hierarchical control structure which provides framewo rk for organization of an on-line reservoir management problem. The im portant factor involved in flood control the uncertainty with respect to future inflows is taken into consideration. A case study of the upp er Vistula river basin system in the southern part of Poland is presen ted. Simulation results based on 11 historical floods are briefly desc ribed and discussed.