This paper describes a prospective study designed to ascertain the pre
dictive value of biological factors associated with schizophrenia in m
ales and females. In a sample of 59 medication-free schizophrenic inpa
tients (41 males; 18 females), we assessed the correlation of four fac
tors - rapid eye movement (REM) sleep latency, delta (slow-wave) sleep
, dexamethasone suppression test (DST) cortisol levels, and ventricle-
brain ratio (VBR)- with several dimensions of outcome at 1-year post-d
ischarge. In the total sample, shorter REM latency was associated with
poor outcome on all dimensions measured: rehospitalization, employmen
t, social activity, symptomatology, and global functioning. However, n
one of the other biological factors were associated with any measure o
f outcome. The predictive value of REM latency appeared to be gender-s
pecific; in general, the relationships between reduced REM latency and
poor outcome were consistently noted in females, but were not signifi
cant in males. These results suggest that a common, possibly gender-re
lated, pathophysiological mechanism might underlie both abnormal REM l
atency and poor outcome. The findings underscore the importance of con
sidering gender differences in studies of schizophrenia.