Background, Cytopenia caused by ineffective hematopoiesis and monocyte
overproduction coexist in CMML, providing grounds for discussion to s
upporters of a dysplastic versus a proliferative identity for CMML, Fo
llow-up information from a large series of patients may contribute to
clarifying the position of this infrequent disease. Methods. We analyz
ed data from 77 patients followed in five institutions, Thirty-two var
iables were studied for their influence an survival and on progression
to acute leukemia by univariate and multivariate analysis, For some p
arameters, we performed a quartile analysis to reveal a possible non-m
onotonic influence on survival. Results. Median survival was 17 months
. Evolution to acute leukemia (ANLL) occurred in 11 patients (14%) wit
hin a median time of 8 months. Multivariate analysis assigned a poorer
prognosis to patients presenting with thrombocytopenia, anemia and le
ukocytosis. Thrombocytopenia and the presence of circulating blasts we
re risk factors for transformation to ANLL, while raised serum asparta
te transaminase at diagnosis seemed to be associated with a lower prob
ability of blastic evolution. The Bournemouth score for CMML proved to
be a valid tool for predicting survival but not acute transformation.
Conclusions. CMML is a severe disease. The prognostic independence of
cytopenia (anemia, thrombocytopenia) and leukocytosis underlines the
coexistence of aspects typical of myelodysplastic and myeloproliferati
ve syndromes.