Objective: To determine the minimal clinically important difference (M
CID) of warfarin therapy for the treatment of nonvalvular atrial fibri
llation from the perspective of patients using 2 different elicitation
methods. Design: All patients completed 2 face-to-face interviews, wh
ich were 2 weeks apart. For each interview, they were randomized to re
ceive 1 of 2 elicitation methods: ping-ponging or starting at the know
n efficacy. Setting: The practices of 2 university-affiliated family m
edicine centers (8 physicians each), 14 community-based family physici
ans, and 2 cardiologists. Patients: Sixty-four patients with nonvalvul
ar atrial fibrillation who were initiated with warfarin therapy at lea
st 3 months before the study. Intervention: During each interview, the
patients' MCIDs were determined by using (1) a pictorial flip chart t
o describe atrial fibrillation; the consequences of a minor stroke, a
major stroke, and a major bleeding episode; the chance of stroke if no
t taking warfarin; the chance of a major bleeding episode if taking wa
rfarin; examples of the inconvenience, minor side effects, and costs o
f warfarin therapy; and then (2) 1 of the 2 elicitation methods to det
ermine their MCIDs (the smallest reduction in stroke risk at which the
patients were willing to take warfarin). Patients' knowledge of their
stroke risk, acceptability of the interview process, and factors dete
rmining their preferences were also assessed. Main Results: Given a ba
seline risk of having a stroke in the next 2 years, if not taking warf
arin, of 10 of 100, the mean MCID was 2.01 of 100 (95% confidence inte
rval, 1.60-2.42). Fifty-two percent of the patients would take warfari
n for an absolute decrease in stroke risk of 1% over 2 years. Before e
liciting their MCIDs, patients showed poor knowledge of their stroke r
isk, which improved afterward. The interview process was well accepted
by the patients. The MCID using the ping-ponging elicitation method w
as 1.015 of 100 smaller compared with use of the starting at the known
efficacy method (P=.01). Conclusions: We were able to determine the M
CID of warfarin therapy for the prevention of stroke from the perspect
ive of patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation. Their MCIDs were
much smaller than those that have been implied by some experts and cl
inicians. The interview process, using the flip chart approach, appear
ed to improve the patients' knowledge of their disease and its consequ
ences and treatment. The method used to elicit the patients' MCIDs can
have a clinically important effect on patient responses. The method u
sed in our study can be generalized to other conditions and, thus, cou
ld be helpful in 3 ways: (1) from a clinical decision-malting perspect
ive, it could facilitate patient-physician communication; (2) it could
clarify the patient perspective when interpreting the results of prev
iously completed trials; and (3) it could be used to derive more clini
cally relevant sample sizes for randomized treatment trials.