Wisconsin is commonly cited as exemplar of the capability of states fo
r reforming welfare. Wisconsin's welfare caseload declined 22.5 percen
t between 1986 and 1994. I argue that the decline resulted from restri
ction of eligibility and benefits, a strong state economy, and large e
xpenditures on welfare-to-work programs encouraged by an exceptional f
iscal bargain with the federal government. Continued reduction of welf
are utilization by means other than denying access are jeopardized by
proposed changes in federal cost-sharing, a prospective state deficit,
and the growing share of the caseload accounted for by residents of M
ilwaukee. Wisconsin Works, the state's plan for public assistance in a
post-block grant world, continues benefit reduction and eligibility r
estriction but expands emphasis on employment. The special circumstanc
es enjoyed by Wisconsin are unlikely to be duplicated elsewhere.