FIRST THINGS FIRST - WHAT IS THE BASE-RATE

Authors
Citation
C. Mccauley, FIRST THINGS FIRST - WHAT IS THE BASE-RATE, Behavioral and brain sciences, 19(1), 1996, pp. 33
Citations number
3
Categorie Soggetti
Psychology,"Psychology, Biological",Neurosciences,"Behavioral Sciences
ISSN journal
0140525X
Volume
19
Issue
1
Year of publication
1996
Database
ISI
SICI code
0140-525X(1996)19:1<33:FTF-WI>2.0.ZU;2-H
Abstract
The fallacy beneath the base rate fallancy is that we know what a base rate is. We talk as if base rates and individuating information were two different kinds of information. From a Bayesian perspective, howev er, the only difference between base rate and individuating informatio n is - which comes first.