Jn. Wasserheit et So. Aral, THE DYNAMIC TOPOLOGY OF SEXUALLY-TRANSMITTED DISEASE EPIDEMICS - IMPLICATIONS FOR PREVENTION STRATEGIES, The Journal of infectious diseases, 174, 1996, pp. 201-213
Each sexually transmitted disease (STD) epidemic evolves through predi
ctable phases, shaped by a dynamic interplay among the pathogen, the b
ehaviors of the subpopulations in which it emerges, and the prevention
efforts that are developed to limit its impact. As STD epidemics move
through these phases, the sexual and social networks that fuel them b
ecome located in subpopulations characterized by progressively higher
rates of sex partner change and less contact with the health care syst
em. As a result, phase-appropriate prevention strategies and research
issues are essential to reducing STDs and their consequences.