Hereditary non-polyposis colorectal cancer syndrome (HNPCC) is often c
onsidered to be the most common form of inherited colorectal cancer, a
lthough its precise incidence is unknown. The clinical diagnosis of HN
PCC relies on a combination of family history and young age of onset o
f colorectal cancer, but as many familial aggregations of colorectal c
ancer do not fulfil the strict diagnostic criteria, HNPCC might be und
erdiagnosed. The majority of HNPCC families have germline mutations in
mismatch repair (MMR) genes, such as MSH2 or MLH1, so that HNPCC canc
ers characteristically exhibit DNA replication errors (RERs) at micros
atellite loci. Although an RER positive phenotype in tumours can also
result from somatic mutations in an MMR gene, the prevalence of RER+ t
umours should provide a maximum estimate of the incidence of germline
MMR gene mutations in patients with early onset and familial colorecta
l cancer. We investigated colorectal cancers for RERs from (1) a popul
ation based study of 33 patients with colorectal cancer aged 45 years
or less, (2) 65 kindreds with familial colorectal cancer which only pa
rtially fulfilled the criteria for the diagnosis of HNPCC, and (3) 18
cancers from 12 HNPCC kindreds. Seven of 33 patients (21%) with colore
ctal cancer aged 45 years or less had an RER+ cancer, with only two of
these having a clear family history of HNPCC. A greater proportion of
RER+ tumours (5/7) occurred proximal to the splenic flexure than RER-
tumours (4/26; chi(2) = 6.14, p < 0.025). RERs were detected in all 1
8 cancers from HNPCC patients but in only six of 65 non-HNPCC familial
colorectal cancer kindreds (9%; chi(2) = 52.2, p < 0.0005). These fin
dings suggest that most cancers in patients diagnosed at 45 years of a
ge or less and familial aggregations of colorectal cancer which do not
fulfil HNPCC diagnostic criteria do not have germline mutations in MS
H2 and MLH1. Hence population screening for germline mutations in thes
e genes is unlikely to be an efficient strategy for identifying people
at high risk of developing colorectal cancer.