A. Pablosmendez et al., THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN DELAYED OR INCOMPLETE TREATMENT AND ALL-CAUSE MORTALITY IN PATIENTS WITH TUBERCULOSIS, JAMA, the journal of the American Medical Association, 276(15), 1996, pp. 1223-1228
Objective.-To analyze the factors associated with survival in patients
with pulmonary and extrapulmonary tuberculosis in New York City. Desi
gn.-Observational study of a citywide cohort of tuberculosis cases. Se
tting.-New York City, April 1991, before the strengthening of its cont
rol program. Patients.-All 229 newly diagnosed cases of tuberculosis d
ocumented by culture in April 1991. Most patients (74%) were male, and
the median age was 37 years (range, 1-89 years). In all, 89% belonged
to minority groups. Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection was
present in 50% and multidrug resistance in 7% of the cases. Twenty-one
patients (9%) were not treated. Main Outcome Measures.-Follow-up info
rmation was collected through the New York City tuberculosis registry;
death from any cause was verified through the National Death Index. R
esults.-Cumulative all-cause mortality by October 1994 was 44%; the me
dian survival for those who died was 6.3 months (range, 0 days to 3 ye
ars). The most important baseline predictors of mortality, adjusted fo
r baseline clinical and demographic factors, were acquired immunodefic
iency syndrome (AIDS) (91% vs 11% in HIV-seronegative patients; Cox re
lative risk [RR], 7.8; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.1-29.1), multid
rug resistance (87% vs 39% in pansensitive cases; adjusted RR, 5.8; 95
% CI, 2.3-14.5), and lack of treatment (81% vs 40%; adjusted RR, 3.1;
95% CI, 1.0-9.7). Also, 11 of 13 HIV-infected patients who started tre
atment after a 1-month delay died. Among 173 patients surviving the re
commended treatment period, those who completed therapy (66%) had a lo
wer subsequent mortality (20% vs 37%; RR, 0.5; 95% CI, 0.3-0.9). Concl
usions.-Mortality from tuberculosis was high, even among patients with
out multidrug resistance who were not known to be infected with HIV. M
ost HIV-seropositive patients with delayed therapy died. Multidrug res
istance predicted higher mortality, and treatment completion was assoc
iated with improved subsequent patient survival.