Initiating public enterprise reform is a complex decision influenced b
y economic factors as well as the ideological biases and personalities
of political leaders. Nevertheless, the use of a contracting framewor
k yields important generalizations about what drives the decision. Thi
s article argues that the decision depends fundamentally on the potent
ial efficiency gains from the reform and its associated transactions c
osts. Costs arise because of asymmetries in information and opportunis
m, problems that usually plague contract negotiations. The article ide
ntifies observable variables that may affect either the potential gain
s or the transactions costs, uses them to construct a simple probit de
cision-making model, and tests the model using data from fifteen devel
oping countries over a twenty-year period.