The radial structure of tokamak profiles determined by anomalous trans
port is elucidated by studying the statistical mechanics of a sand pil
e automaton for which the toppling conditions depend on local gradient
, alone. In this representation, the sand pile dynamics is Markovian,
and spatial profiles may be obtained from calculated expectation value
s of the local gradient. The Markovian structure of the dynamics is ex
ploited to analytically derive a local gradient probability distributi
on function from a generalized kinetic equation. for homogeneous, weak
noise, the calculated expectation value of the gradient is well below
the marginally stable state. In the over-driven limit (i.e., strong h
omogeneous noise), a region of super-critical gradient is shown to for
m near the bottom of the pile. For the case of localized noise, the me
an self-organized profile is always sub-critical. These results are co
nsistent with numerical studies of simple automata. Their relevance to
and implications for tokamak confinement are discussed. (C) 1996 Amer
ican Institute of Physics.