Background Guidelines have been offered on haemoglobin thresholds for
blood transfusion in surgical patients. However, good evidence is lack
ing on the haemoglobin concentrations at which the risk of death or se
rious morbidity begins to rise and at which transfusion is indicated.
Methods A retrospective cohort study was performed in 1958 patients, 1
8 years and older, who underwent surgery and declined blood tranfusion
for religious reasons. The primary outcome was 30-day mortality and t
he secondary outcome was 30-day mortality or in-hospital 30-day morbid
ity. Cardiovascular disease was defined as a history of angina, myocar
dial infarction, congestive heart failure, or peripheral vascular dise
ase. Findings The 30-day mortality was 3.2% (95% CI 2.4-4.0). The mort
ality was 1.3% (0.8-2.0) in patients with preoperative haemoglobin 12
g/dL or greater and 33.3% (18.6-51.0) in patients with preoperative ha
emoglobin less than 6 g/dL. The increase in risk of death associated w
ith low preoperative haemoglobin was more pronounced in patients with
cardiovascular disease than in patients without (interaction p<0.03).
The effect of blood loss on mortality was larger in patients with low
preoperative haemoglobin than in those with a higher preoperative haem
oglobin (interaction p<0.001). The results were similar in analyses of
postoperative haemoglobin and 30-day mortality or in-hospital morbidi
ty. Interpretation A low preoperative haemoglobin or a substantial ope
rative blood loss increases the risk of death or serious morbidity mor
e in patients with cardiovascular disease than in those without. Decis
ions about transfusion should take account of cardiovascular status an
d operative blood loss as well as the haemoglobin concentration.