AN EXPERIMENTAL-STUDY OF VOTING RULES AND POLLS IN 3-CANDIDATE ELECTIONS

Citation
R. Forsythe et al., AN EXPERIMENTAL-STUDY OF VOTING RULES AND POLLS IN 3-CANDIDATE ELECTIONS, International journal of game theory, 25(3), 1996, pp. 355-383
Citations number
27
Categorie Soggetti
Social Sciences, Mathematical Methods","Mathematical, Methods, Social Sciences","Mathematics, Miscellaneous","Statistic & Probability
ISSN journal
00207276
Volume
25
Issue
3
Year of publication
1996
Pages
355 - 383
Database
ISI
SICI code
0020-7276(1996)25:3<355:AEOVRA>2.0.ZU;2-S
Abstract
We report the results of elections conducted in a laboratory setting, modelled on a three-candidate example due to Borda. By paying subjects conditionally on election outcomes, we create electorates with (publi cly) known preferences. We compare the results of experiments with and without non-binding pre-election polls under plurality rule, approval voting, and Borda rule. We also refer to a theory of voting ''equilib ria,'' which makes sharp predictions concerning individual voter behav ior and election outcomes. We find that Condorcet losers occasionally win regardless of the voting rule or presence of polls. Duverger's law (which asserts the predominance of two candidates) appears to hold un der plurality rule, but close three-way races often arise under approv al voting and Borda rule. Voters appear to poll and vote strategically . In elections, voters usually cast votes that are consistent with som e strategic equilibrium. By the end of an election series, most votes are consistent with a single equilibrium, although that equilibrium va ries by experimental group and voting rule.