R. Forsythe et al., AN EXPERIMENTAL-STUDY OF VOTING RULES AND POLLS IN 3-CANDIDATE ELECTIONS, International journal of game theory, 25(3), 1996, pp. 355-383
Citations number
27
Categorie Soggetti
Social Sciences, Mathematical Methods","Mathematical, Methods, Social Sciences","Mathematics, Miscellaneous","Statistic & Probability
We report the results of elections conducted in a laboratory setting,
modelled on a three-candidate example due to Borda. By paying subjects
conditionally on election outcomes, we create electorates with (publi
cly) known preferences. We compare the results of experiments with and
without non-binding pre-election polls under plurality rule, approval
voting, and Borda rule. We also refer to a theory of voting ''equilib
ria,'' which makes sharp predictions concerning individual voter behav
ior and election outcomes. We find that Condorcet losers occasionally
win regardless of the voting rule or presence of polls. Duverger's law
(which asserts the predominance of two candidates) appears to hold un
der plurality rule, but close three-way races often arise under approv
al voting and Borda rule. Voters appear to poll and vote strategically
. In elections, voters usually cast votes that are consistent with som
e strategic equilibrium. By the end of an election series, most votes
are consistent with a single equilibrium, although that equilibrium va
ries by experimental group and voting rule.