Ug. Gupta et Re. Clarke, THEORY AND APPLICATIONS OF THE DELPHI TECHNIQUE - A BIBLIOGRAPHY (1975-1994), Technological forecasting & social change, 53(2), 1996, pp. 185-211
Delphi is a popular, long-range, qualitative forecasting technique tha
t has been extensively applied to a wide variety of problems in differ
ent domains. Since the method was conceived in the early 1950s at the
Rand Corporation, different variations of Delphi have evolved in an ef
fort to meet the unique forecasting needs of different decision makers
. This bibliographic study surveys the literature on the methodology a
nd applications of Delphi over a period of two decades (1975-1994). A
total of 463 papers were identified out of which 254 papers treat Delp
hi as a primary subject while the remaining 209 papers treat Delphi as
a secondary subject. The study concludes with a brief commentary on t
he Delphi technique that may be useful for researchers and practitione
rs in qualitative forecasting. (C) 1996 Elsevier Science Inc.