THEORY AND APPLICATIONS OF THE DELPHI TECHNIQUE - A BIBLIOGRAPHY (1975-1994)

Citation
Ug. Gupta et Re. Clarke, THEORY AND APPLICATIONS OF THE DELPHI TECHNIQUE - A BIBLIOGRAPHY (1975-1994), Technological forecasting & social change, 53(2), 1996, pp. 185-211
Citations number
NO
Categorie Soggetti
Business,"Planning & Development
ISSN journal
00401625
Volume
53
Issue
2
Year of publication
1996
Pages
185 - 211
Database
ISI
SICI code
0040-1625(1996)53:2<185:TAAOTD>2.0.ZU;2-N
Abstract
Delphi is a popular, long-range, qualitative forecasting technique tha t has been extensively applied to a wide variety of problems in differ ent domains. Since the method was conceived in the early 1950s at the Rand Corporation, different variations of Delphi have evolved in an ef fort to meet the unique forecasting needs of different decision makers . This bibliographic study surveys the literature on the methodology a nd applications of Delphi over a period of two decades (1975-1994). A total of 463 papers were identified out of which 254 papers treat Delp hi as a primary subject while the remaining 209 papers treat Delphi as a secondary subject. The study concludes with a brief commentary on t he Delphi technique that may be useful for researchers and practitione rs in qualitative forecasting. (C) 1996 Elsevier Science Inc.