STATISTICAL MODELING IN SPECIFIC CASE ANALYSIS

In spite of the problems associated with the development of a statisti cal approach in specific case analysis, the potential of two statistic al methods, logistic regression and Bayesian belief networks, has been investigated and found encouraging in the context of a database relat ing to child murders with a sexual connotation. Continual collaboratio n between statisticians and detectives would be needed in the collecti on of the data, the choice and construction of the models, and the int erpretation of the results.