Ka. Boering et al., STRATOSPHERIC MEAN AGES AND TRANSPORT RATES FROM OBSERVATIONS OF CARBON-DIOXIDE AND NITROUS-OXIDE, Science, 274(5291), 1996, pp. 1340-1343
Measurements of stratospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) and nitrous oxide (
N2O) concentrations were analyzed to investigate stratospheric transpo
rt rates. Temporal variations in tropospheric CO2 were observed to pro
pagate into the stratosphere, showing that tropospheric air enters the
lower tropical stratosphere continuously, ascends, and is transported
rapidly (in less than 1 month) to both hemispheres. The mean age A of
stratospheric air determined from CO2 data is approximately 5 years i
n the mid-stratosphere. The mean age is mathematically equivalent to a
conserved tracer analogous to exhaust from stratospheric aircraft. Co
mparison of values for A from models and observations indicates that c
urrent model simulations likely underestimate pollutant concentrations
from proposed stratospheric aircraft by 25 to 100 percent.