MODERN CONGRESSIONAL ELECTION-THEORY MEETS THE 1992 HOUSE ELECTIONS

The events surrounding the 1992 congressional elections-the check-kiti ng scandal, the last opportunity to convert campaign funds to personal funds, redistricting, and a public allegedly soured on Congress subse quent to pay raises, scandals, and the Thomas-Hill hearings - provided a unique opportunity to test the prevailing models of congressional e lections. In this research, we analyze the forces that contributed to the coming of 110 new members to the 103rd Congress. Our conclusion is that, while some aspects of the 1992 elections were unusual, the basi c statutes of modem congressional election theory still apply if some needed, friendly amendments are added. Candidates continued to behave strategically, for example, but 1992 indicates the importance of devel oping the concept of strategic behavior for incumbents as well as chal lengers.