A 12-year follow-up study was carried out to evaluate the risk factors
for unspecified low-back pain and sciatic pain. Middle-aged farmers w
ho did not report any low-back or neck-shoulder pain during the previo
us year in a postal questionnaire in 1979 were included in the follow-
up study in 1992 (n = 537). In total, 366 (68%) of these farmers were
interviewed by telephone. In 1992, the one-year prevalence rates of un
specified low-back pain (13.3%) and sciatic pain (9.6%) were low. Full
-time farmers had a significantly higher prevalence of sciatic pain th
an did part-time or retired farmers. In the logistic regression modell
ing of sciatic pain in men, the odds ratio was 9.6 (95% Cl: 2.7-65.2)
for current smokers and 13.1 (95% Cl: 1.7-53.0) for ex-smokers as comp
ared to never smokers. Mental stress, body height, body mass index and
production factors did not predict unspecified low-back pain or sciat
ic pain. Farmers who are free of back problems in middle age seem to s
tay well in the long run despite the heavy work. The close association
between smoking and the prevalence of sciatic pain found in men is in
line with the hypothesis that smoking is a causal risk factor for lum
bar disc disease.