M. Nuret et M. Chong, MONITORING THE PERFORMANCE OF THE ECMWF OPERATIONAL ANALYSIS USING THE ENHANCED TOGA COARE OBSERVATIONAL NETWORK, Weather and forecasting, 11(1), 1996, pp. 53-65
An enhanced atmospheric monitoring effort has been set up during the I
ntensive Observation Period (IOP) of the Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Resp
onse Experiment (COARE), devoted to better describe the ocean-atmosphe
re system of the western Pacific near-equatorial warm pool. The field
phase of COARE was one component of the international Tropical Oceans
and Global Atmosphere (TOGA) program, and the IOP took place from 1 No
vember 1992 through 28 February 1993. The authors compare the European
Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts operational analysis to the
radiosonde measurements at three sites (with four soundings per day)
deployed in the vicinity of the equator. The statistics of the differe
nces between observations and analyses show a systematic underestimati
on of the analyzed wind speed, close to 1 m s(-1), reaching 2 m s(-1)
at the easterly jet level, and an overestimation of approximate to 1 m
s(-1) at 1000 hPa. Analyzed humidity is too dry in the midtroposphere
and too moist in the low troposphere. Analyzed temperature exhibits a
more complicated behavior, but the high troposphere is generally too
cold. The statistics of the differences between observations and first
-guess temperature fields show similar features but are more pronounce
d, showing that the biases are partly induced by the model parameteriz
ations. Moreover, it is shown that the analysis is very close to the f
irst guess for 0600 and 1800 UTC due to the loss of observations over
the Global Transmission System. Hence, a reanalysis with all the data
is strongly suggested.