A MODEL FOR PREDICTING THE TEMPORAL DISTRIBUTION OF ONE-DAY RECREATIONAL TRAVEL

This paper proposes a model for predicting the temporal distribution o f one-day travel which is not under any explicit temporal constraints. The model assumes utilities related to the earliness of home departur e, the lateness of home arrival, along with the utilities related to s taying at a destination or travelling. The proposed model is applied t o one-day recreational travel in Japan. The model provides a reasonabl e prediction of temporal distribution on mass transit systems. The mod el is then revised for predicting travel by private cars.