Ja. Milberg et al., IMPROVED SURVIVAL OF PATIENTS WITH ACUTE RESPIRATORY-DISTRESS-SYNDROME (ARDS) - 1983-1993, JAMA, the journal of the American Medical Association, 273(4), 1995, pp. 306-309
Objective.-To analyze temporal trends in acute respiratory distress sy
ndrome (ARDS) fatality rates since 1983 at one institution. Design.-Co
hort. Setting.-Intensive care units of a large county hospital. Patien
ts.-Consecutive adult patients (greater than or equal to 18 years of a
ge) meeting ARDS criteria were identified through daily surveillance o
f intensive care units (N=918 from 1983 through 1993). The major cause
s were sepsis syndrome in 37% and major trauma in 25%; 37% had other r
isks. Sixty-five percent were male. The median age was 45 years (range
, 18 to 92 years); 70% were younger than 60 years. Main Outcome Measur
e.-Hospital mortality. Results.-Overall fatality rates showed no trend
from 1983 to 1987, declined slightly in 1988 and 1989, and decreased
to a low of 36% in 1993 (95% confidence interval, 25% to 46%). The cru
de rates were largely unchanged after adjustment for age, ARDS risk, a
nd gender distribution. While patients both younger than 60 years and
60 years or older experienced declines in fatality rate, the larger de
crease occurred in the younger cohort. In sepsis patients, ARDS fatali
ty rates declined steadily, from 67% in 1990 to 40% in 1993 (95% confi
dence interval, 23% to 57%). The decline in sepsis-related ARDS fatali
ty was confined largely to patients less than 60 years of age. Trauma
patients and all other patients also experienced declines in fatality
rates after 1987, although these trends were not as strong and consist
ent as in the sepsis population. Conclusions.-In this large series, we
observed a significant decrease in fatality rates occurring largely i
n patients younger than 60 years and in those with sepsis syndrome as
their risk for ARDS. We are unable to determine the extent to which ex
perimental therapies or other changes in treatment have contributed to
the observed decline in the ARDS fatality rate, institution-specific
rates and temporal trends in ARDS fatality rates should be considered
in clinical trials designed to prevent ARDS and the high mortality ass
ociated with this syndrome.