Rg. Gullberg et Aw. Jones, GUIDELINES FOR ESTIMATING THE AMOUNT OF ALCOHOL CONSUMED FROM A SINGLE MEASUREMENT OF BLOOD-ALCOHOL CONCENTRATION - REEVALUATION OF WIDMARKS EQUATION, Forensic science international, 69(2), 1994, pp. 119-130
This article deals with the pharmacokinetics of ethanol and the reliab
ility of estimating the amount of alcohol ingested from a single measu
rement of a person's blood alcohol concentration (BAC). Blood alcohol
curves were plotted for 108 male subjects after they drank various dos
es of ethanol (0.51-0.85 g/kg body weight). The rate of disappearance
of ethanol from the blood (P-slope) and the apparent volume of distrib
ution of ethanol (Widmark's rho factor, rho) were calculated for each
subject; the mean beta-slope was 13.3 mg/dl/h (SD = 2.0), and the mean
rho factor was 0.689 l/kg (SD = 0.061). The value of beta increased s
lightly with increasing dose of alcohol (P < 0.05). The blood alcohol
parameters beta and rho were negatively correlated (r = -0.135), The B
ACs measured at 2 h and 5 h post-drinking were used to estimate the am
ount of alcohol each subject had consumed according to the method prop
osed by Widmark [1]. The mean differences (estimated-actual) and the /-95% limits of agreement were -0.72 g(+/- 12), and 2.2(+/- 15), for t
he 2 h and 5 h BAC values, respectively. A method based on error propa
gation was used to derive the 95% limits of uncertainty in the amount
of alcohol ingested. On the basis of a Single measurement of BAC, we c
ould estimate the amount of alcohol ingested within +/- 20%.