In this paper. we present a novel data-adaptive estimator for the evol
utionary spectrum of nonstationary signals. We model the signal at a f
requency of interest as a sinusoid with a time-varying amplitude, whic
h is accurately represented by an orthonormal basis expansion. We then
compute a minimum mean-squared error estimate of this amplitude and u
se it to estimate the time-varying spectrum at that frequency, all whi
le minimizing the interference from the signal components at other fre
quencies. Repeating the process over all frequencies, we obtain a powe
r distribution that is consistent with the Wold-Cramer evolutionary sp
ectrum and reduces to Capon's method for the stationary case. Our esti
mator possesses desirable properties in terms of time-frequency resolu
tion and positivity and is robust in the spectral estimation of noisy
nonstationary data. We also propose a new estimator for the autocorrel
ation of nonstationary signals. This autocorrelation estimate is neede
d in the data-adaptive spectral estimation. We illustrate the performa
nce of our estimator using simulation examples and compare it with the
recently presented evolutionary periodogram and the bilinear time-fre
quency distribution with exponential kernels.