Patterns of overwinter mortality in the sexually dimorphic red-winged
blackbird (Agelaius phoeniceus) were examined to test the predictions
of the sexual-selection hypothesis that male size is limited by direct
ional selection favoring small males and that female size is maintaine
d by stabilizing selection wherein extreme phenotypes experience highe
r mortality. Museum specimens collected from Ontario over a 95-yr peri
od were used to compare the sizes of males and females collected in fa
ll and spring. In a separate field study, body sizes of returning and
nonreturning male and female red-winged blackbirds were compared over
a 6-yr period. Overall, there was no evidence of higher overwinter mor
tality among larger males. Among adult (ASY) males, large individuals
appeared to have higher survival than small individuals, although amon
g subadult (SY) males, large size may have been disadvantageous. Weak
evidence of stabilizing selection on female body size was found. Among
adults, sexual size dimorphism seemed more pronounced after winter th
an before winter. Our results do not support the hypothesis that body
size in male red-winged blackbirds is limited by selective mortality o
utside the breeding season. It is possible that size selection occurs
earlier in life, when males are still in the nest. Our results suggest
that caution should be exercised when interpreting interspecific evid
ence showing higher adult male than female mortality in sexually dimor
phic species. Such patterns could arise as a cost to males of sexual s
election and yet provide no insight into how natural selection opposes
sexual selection for increased male size.