T. Tsuda et al., INGESTED ARSENIC AND INTERNAL CANCER - A HISTORICAL COHORT STUDY FOLLOWED FOR 33 YEARS, American journal of epidemiology, 141(3), 1995, pp. 198-209
A historical cohort study was conducted to investigate the long-term e
ffect of exposure to ingested arsenic. The 454 residents who had been
identified in a list made in 1959 were followed until 1992. They lived
in an arsenic-polluted area, called Namiki-cho, Nakajo-machi, in Niig
ata Prefecture, Japan, and used well water containing inorganic arseni
c. The exposure period was estimated to be about 5 years (1955-1959).
Death certificates for the people who died between 1959 and 1992 were
examined, and a total of 113 of the 454 residents were estimated to ha
ve drunk well water containing a high dose of arsenic (greater than or
equal to 1 ppm). The standardized mortality rate ratios of these 113
residents were 15.69 for lung cancer (observed/expected = 8/0.51; 95%
confidence interval (CI) 7.38-31.02) and 31.18 for urinary tract cance
r (observed/expected = 3/0.10; 95% CI 8.62-91.75). Cox's proportional
hazard analyses demonstrated that the hazard ratios of the highest exp
osure level group (greater than or equal to 1 ppm) versus the backgrou
nd exposure level group (0.001 ppm) were 1.74 (95% CI 1.10-2.74) for a
il deaths and 4.82 (95% CI 2.09-11.14) for all cancers. The analysis a
ccording to the skin signs of chronic arsenicism in 1959 showed that t
hey were useful risk indicators for subsequent cancer development. In
the development of lung cancer, there was evidence of synergism betwee
n arsenic intake and smoking habit.