Quantitative stratigraphic modeling provides new perspectives on the c
ontrols on basin-fill stacking patterns, gross lithology distributions
, and submarine fan deposition in siliciclastic systems. Our modeling
relates basin-fill geometries to the ratio of space creation vs. sedim
ent supply Facies components differentially distribute sand/mud mixtur
es below rising base-level surfaces across a basin profile. We model a
lluvial architecture, shoreline position, shelf width, and the occurre
nce of turbidite sands as a function of relative base-level rise and v
arying receiving-basin geometries. Slope unconformities and onlapping
submarine fans are the erosional and depositional responses to changin
g basin physiography. Sediment budgeting reveals two types of silicicl
astic systems. Sand-limited systems develop in shallow basins or on ba
sin-margin platforms; have broad, muddy, wave-graded shelves; and are
subject to exposure and major basinward shifts of shoreline with minor
sea level falls. Mud-limited systems develop during progradation into
deep-water basins, have narrow shelves with turbidites in a base-of-s
lope position, and are not particularly susceptible to major basinward
shifts in facies. We emphasize the fundamental importance of basin ph
ysiography and lithology budgeting, as well as sea level, in contrast
to eustatically based models. In addition to accommodation and sedimen
t supply, alluvial architecture and basin depth also act as primary co
ntrols on shelf width, basin-fill geometry and submarine fan depositio
n.