All patients with severe pneumonias (community-acquired and nosocomial
) who required treatment in the intensive care unit (ICU) were include
d in a 3-year prospective study, Predictive factors for a fatal outcom
e were analyzed in 127 patients, An etiologic diagnosis was made in 70
(55.1%) patients, Culture of sputum or tracheobronchial secretions we
re used only as criteria for microbiologic diagnosis of Legionella pne
umophila. The pathogens most frequently identified were L pneumophila,
Streptococcus pneumoniae, and Pseudomonas aeruginosa, Viruses were no
t detected as causative agents. A total of 54 patients died (mortality
rate, 42.5%). The univariate analysis showed the following factors as
sociated with mortality: advanced age (greater than or equal to 70 yea
rs); presence of septic shock, requirement of mechanical ventilation,
and Simplified Acute Physiology Score [SAPS] index >12 at the time of
admission to the ICU or when symptoms appeared in patients already adm
itted to the ICU; development of any complication during ICU hospitali
zation; and P aeruginosa as the etiologic agent of the pneumonia, When
all variables were introduced by a stepwise method, the final model i
ncluded advanced age (greater than or equal to 70 years), SAPS index >
12, presence of septic shock, requirement of mechanical ventilation, b
ilateral pulmonary involvement, and P aeruginosa as the etiologic agen
t of pneumonia as prognostic factors associated with a fatal outcome,