It has not been established that a major cause of extinction in birds
or any other taxa is failure of metapopulation dynamics: the collapse
of a network of ephemeral but discrete populations as movement between
them becomes increasingly infrequent. The few data on who goes where
and who mates with whom suggest that most species are structured as ei
ther a single large population or a small set of source populations an
d a larger set of sinks. The extinction of the latter is irrelevant to
the persistence of the species. However, regional decline of a specie
s in the face of habitat destruction and fragmentation can mimic a fai
lure of metapopulation dynamics, because distinct aggregations of indi
viduals will disappear much as they would if populations in an interac
ting network were eliminated one by one. Any species with highly restr
icted range is at great risk of extinction from spatially localized fo
rces, such as cyclones or deforestation, Restricted range rather than
inherent weakness is the main reason that so many island species have
gone extinct or are endangered, Species with small populations in cont
act with much larger heterospecific ones with which they are interfert
ile are threatened with extinction by hybridization. Finally, the disa
ppearance of a species from a site may be due to subtle habitat change
, even if this observation seems superficially consistent with some ge
neral population theory, such as the dynamic equilibrium theory of isl
and biogeography. Current theory is an inadequate substitute for inten
sive field studies as a means to address the conservation problems of
individual species.