The aim of this study was to assess the relationship between salivary
mutans streptococcus (SMS) levels and the prevalence and incidence of
dental caries in 148 children (mean baseline age 3.8 years) of low soc
ioeconomic status. Caries data (dmfs) and semiquantitative SMS counts
were obtained at baseline and annually for 2 years. The children were
classified during each of the 3 years as low (0 colony-forming units;
CFU), moderate (1-50 CFU), or high (> 50 CFU) caries risk based on tot
al SMS counts. The results indicated that the prevalence of dental car
ies increased with SMS levels at baseline and generally in both assess
ment years. At baseline the mean dmfs of the children classified as lo
w, moderate, or high caries risk was 0.15, 1.44, and 3.36, respectivel
y, while the mean dmfs of the same children at year 2 was 1.18, 3.10,
and 7.87, respectively. The mean dmfs of the high-caries-risk group in
creased by 79% between baseline and year 1 and by 30% between year 1 a
nd year 2. At year 2, 50% of the children in the low- and 47% in the m
oderate-caries-risk groups. Thirty-three percent of the children exami
ned remained in the same caries risk category from baseline to year 2;
the incidence (Delta dmfs) of dental caries in those children designa
ted as low, moderate, and high caries risk during this period was 1.44
, 3.36, and 10.07, respectively. The results indicate that there is an
association between SMS levels and prevalence and incidence of dental
caries in the primary teeth of these children and suggest that SMS le
vels may be useful in predicting the caries risk in the deciduous dent
ition of some populations.