J. Pontiff, CLOSED-END FUND PREMIA AND RETURNS - IMPLICATIONS FOR FINANCIAL MARKET EQUILIBRIUM, Journal of financial economics, 37(3), 1995, pp. 341-370
This paper examines the relation between closed-end fund premia and re
turns. Additional evidence is provided on Thompson's (1978) finding th
at fund premia are negatively correlated with future returns. Funds wi
th 20% discounts have expected twelve-month returns that are 6% greate
r than nondiscounted funds. This correlation is attributed to premium
mean-reversion, not to anticipated future portfolio performance. Econo
mically motivated explanations do not account for this effect.