STUDY OF THE TEMPORAL INTERMITTENCY OF TROPICAL CYCLOGENESIS IN THE PACIFIC-OCEAN BASIN AS APPLIED TO SATELLITE MONITORING PROBLEMS

Based on a statistical analysis of remote data about tropical cyclones in (three active zones of) the Pacific Ocean for 1983-92, represented in the form of a temporal sequence of events, it is shown experimenta lly that probabilistic models of the intensity of cyclogenesis (amplit ude characteristics) in all three active zones may be represented in t he form of Poisson processes. The Poisson streams are found to be temp orally intermittent, with significant variations over a 10-year period . Possible physical reasons for these variations are identified.