10 YEARS OF TREE SEEDLING ESTABLISHMENT AND MORTALITY IN AN OHIO DECIDUOUS FOREST COMPLEX

This study quantified tree seedling establishment and mortality over a ten year period (1984-1993) in an Ohio deciduous forest complex which included upland beech-maple (Acer-Fagus) forest, lowland ash-elm (Fra xinus-Ulmus) forest, and young pin oak (Quercus palustris) forest. Ann ual establishment averaged 316 seedlings/100 m(2), of which approximat ely 70% were ashes and 17% were maples. There were distinct peaks of a sh and maple establishment in 1988 and 1990, and of elm establishment in 1986, 1988, and 1991. There were no significant correlations betwee n ash or maple establishment and seasonal precipitation patterns where as peaks of elm establishment correlated with drier-than-average sprin gs. Ash seedlings were more abundant in lowland than upland plots, whe reas the pattern for maple seedlings was the reverse. Maple seedlings were most abundant in canopy gaps, whereas ash seedlings were most abu ndant in wet depressions. Median longevity for most seedlings was 5-7 months, and >95% died within one year. Of the 2553 seedlings monitored , only two grew out of the seedling size class during this decade. In this site, deer browsing was more important than environmental gradien ts or climate factors in determining seedling longevity and mortality.